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<br />Housing and the Hayward Fault <br />Mayors' Meeting with State Officials <br />Friday - June 22, 2007 - Oakland City Hall <br /> <br />The Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG), in conjunction with the cities of Albany, <br />Berkeley, EI Cerrito, Oakland, San Leandro, and others, is concerned that the Bay Area has the <br />potential to be the next New Orleans mega-disaster. We are particularly concerned about the <br />Hayward fault. Scientists have determined that this fault ruptures an average of once every 140 <br />years. The last of these great earthquakes was 139 years ago. We are at risk. <br /> <br />Researchers have shown that over 50% of all damage in disasters occurs either to or inside housing. <br />Damaged housing takes years - ifnot decades - to rebuild as shown by the Kobe earthquake and <br />Hurricane Katrina. For example, 25% of Kobe's housing has still not been rebuilt - and that <br />earthquake was 12 years ago. <br /> <br />Several strategies to mitigate housing damage through seismic retrofitting are available to individual <br />cities and counties. However, we believe that there are five key elements of this problem that need <br />State attention. In particular, while the number of home retrofits has been increasing, the percentage <br />of these that have been done properly is still relatively low. In addition, few soft-story multifamily <br />residential buildings have been retrofitted. These soft-story buildings are more vulnerable than <br />single-family homes and will be responsible for most of the uninhabitable housing in future <br />earthquakes. <br /> <br />KEY ISSUES <br /> <br />1. CEA Soverehm Immunity - The California Earthquake Authority (CEA) was established by the <br />legislature following the Northridge earthquake because the residential insurance companies were <br />unwilling to offer homeowner insurance in California because oftheir losses. As a quasi-public- <br />private entity, the CEA does not have sovereign immunity. While the CEA is required to spend <br />millions on mitigation, much of this money remains in a special fund because the agency legal staff <br />is concerned that any substantive projects related to structural mitigation would expose the agency to <br />potential lawsuits following an earthquake. Yet these projects are precisely what are needed. <br /> <br />Next steps - Draft legislation to give the CEA sovereign immunity for these mitigation activities <br />and/or place the mitigation dollars in a separate subsidiary organization of the CEA with liability <br />exposure being limited to the subsidiary. <br /> <br />2. Permit Inspections - Many seismic retrofits are being conducted without building permits. <br />Some have conjectured that this is because homeowners are concerned about inspectors finding other <br />problems with their older homes. ABAG staff has talked with both retrofit contractors and city <br />building officials about this issue. This is not a major issue in most cities because the inspectors have <br />been told to not go looking for problems, and access to the crawl space is typically from the outside, <br />so the inspector does not even go inside the home. <br /> <br />One possible explanation is that homeowners may "assume" aggressive inspections will be an issue <br />before they talk to a contractor about obtaining a permit. It may also be created as a false problem by <br />contractors who do not want their work inspected. <br /> <br />Next steps - One possible solution may be a State law that a seismic retrofit permit inspection does <br />not trigger an inspection for other building issues, except for obvious life safety issues. This <br />proposed law may be a problem for CALBO (the California Building Officials organization) unless it <br /> <br />1 <br />