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INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY <br />Introduction <br />TJKM completed a calibrated traffic-forecasting model for the City of San Leandro in conjunction <br />with the Westgate Parkway Project in December 2004. This model is based upon the countywide <br />model from the Alameda County Congestion Management Agency (ACCMA). The City of San <br />Leandro model estimates traffic for 2003 and for 2025 in the a.m. and p.m. peak hours. It is a very <br />detailed model and can accurately estimate trips for relatively small areas such as the Costco store <br />north of Davis Street. TJKM has demonstrated that this model provides accurate traffic estimates for <br />traffic on Davis Street at Doolittle Drive in terms of total entering traffic, and also right and left turns <br />in both peak hours. <br />The City of San Leandro has determined that existing and future traffic congestion at Davis Street and <br />Doolittle Drive requires traffic improvements that will cost approximately $1,000,000 including <br />design, right of way and construction. Those improvements include widening the eastbound Davis <br />Street approach with an additional lane, adding one additional westbound lane on Davis Street, and <br />adding one additional northbound through lane on Doolittle Drive with corresponding changes in <br />signal hardware and operation. These improvements are anticipated to be sufficient for forecast <br />traffic demand through 2025. <br />TJKM has used the traffic model to trace the origins and destinations of all a.m. and p.m. peak hour <br />traffic using Davis and Doolittle. This has allowed the calculation of the proportion of traffic growth <br />generated in the nearby area to all additional traffic using the intersection between 2003 and 2025. <br />We have also been able to determine, on a square foot basis, the amount of traffic added by new <br />development in the proposed assessment area, shown as Figure 1 on the next page. One zone, the <br />Oakland Airport is only referenced and not shown on the map. <br />The City of San Leandro currently charges a traffic impact fee, the "Development Fees for Street <br />Improvements" (DFSI) for all net or additional development throughout the city. The basis for this <br />fee is that while one particular development cannot be shown to contribute traffic at widespread <br />locations throughout the city, the cumulative contribution of all increases in land use and <br />development does increase traffic at many intersections and locations. An earlier study has identified <br />projects and programs throughout the city that are justified on the basis of traffic growth. <br />However, one specific intersection, Davis Street and Doolittle Drive, is singularly useful in serving <br />growth in the proposed assessment area in Figure 1. This is because there are few alternate routes for <br />Traffic other than to use Davis and Doolittle. The use of the model for 2003 and 2025 has enabled <br />TJKM to calculate the specific traffic impact of increased land use intensity in this area. <br />Summary <br />There is a clear connection between anticipated increases in land use intensity in the proposed <br />assessment area and increased trip making through Davis Street and Doolittle Drive. The routing of <br />trips from the Oakland Airport via Doolittle Drive and Davis Street to reach I-880 is due to <br />congestion on I-880. Bypassing congestion north of Davis Street (both north and southbound) via <br />Doolittle Drive and Davis Street is faster than directly accessing I-880 from either 98"' Avenue or <br />Hegenberger Drive. <br />