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Cin of San Leandro Park Impact Fee Study • additional park and recreation facilities to maintain acceptable facilities standards and accommodate new residential development. Relationship Between the Amount of Park and Recreation Facilities Fee Pavment and the Cost of Park and Recreation Facilities The fees calculated in this report are based on the estimated cost of expanding current park and recreation facilities to serve the projected increase in new residents. By using average occupant densities (persons per dwelling unit), the total cost of facilities required to serve new development is equitably allocated to each new housing unit through the fee. The fee per housing unit is no more than what will be needed to maintain existing levels of service. New development is not required to provide facilities at a level above that which is provided to existing development. The City's existing park and recreation facilities (including parks, golf course land, and other specialty recreational facilities) were inventoried. • Replacement values were assigned to the facilities. The estimated total value of the facilities divided by the existing service population was used to determine a per capita level of service. The impact fee per housing unit is based on this per capita level of service. DEVELOPMENT PROJECTIONS Use of development projections from the Association of Bay Area Government's (ABAG) Projections '98 is unsatisfactory in the particular instance of the City of San Leandro. For example, Projections '98 estimates that San Leandro will have 75,500 residents in 2020. But according to the Califomia Department of Finance's current estimates, the City already has about 75,400 residents. According to the City of San Leandro Planning Department and its General Plan consultant, the City expects growth of about 100 housing units per year for the next 20 years. This corresponds with a substantially higher rate of growth than ABAG's projections. Reasons cited for this discrepancy include a greater rate of build -out than anticipated for certain residential projects (e.g., the Roberts Landing development) and the conversion of industrial and commercial parcels to residential development projects. City staff believe that the somewhat unexpected upsurge of the residential market in the inner Bay Area, which is related to the • continuing strength of the economy and the scarcity of housing, is likely to continue (see Table 1). 3 July 1999 conversation with Barry Miller. consultant to the City of San Leandro on its General Plan Update. ' Ibid. Hausrath Economics Group 4