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Table 2: Likelihood of a M6.7 or greater earthquake over the next 30 <br />years <br />Earthquake Fault Probability' <br />San Andreas (Mendocino Coast to San Benito County) 33% <br />Hayward <br />28% <br />Calaveras <br />24% <br />Hunting Creek, Berryessa, Green Valley, Concord <br />24% <br />Maacama <br />23% <br />Rodgers Creek <br />15% <br />San Gregorio <br />5% <br />Greenville <br />6% <br />Mt. Diablo <br />3% <br />West Napa 2% <br />'Source: Uniform Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (2014) <br />Napa Earthquake (August 2014) <br />A 6.0 magnitude earthquake struck the Bay Area on August 24, 2014. The event, localized <br />approximately six miles southwest of Napa Valley, caused an estimated $360 million in <br />damages and resulted in over 200 casualties, including one fatality. Napa Division Fire <br />Chief John Callanan stated that he event triggered six major fires. <br />Figure 1 illustrates the extent of shaking felt in and around the Bay Area. The United States <br />Geological Service estimated that some 15,000 people experienced severe shaking, 106,000 <br />persons felt very strong shaking and another 176,000 felt strong shaking. <br />r, <br />