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Appendix A Summary of the MRW Technical Feasibility Study <br />In addition to developing the EBCE Joint Powers Agreement, County staff also worked <br />with the Steering Committee and a team of consultants to develop a <br />Technical/Feasibility Study, which is a required study for any CCA. The study assessed <br />the range of likely costs of implementing a CCA program under a variety of scenarios. In <br />addition to the cost data, the study also provides an analysis of various legal, regulatory, <br />market, and social risks and threats to the program. <br />This Appendix A describes the inputs into and conclusions of the study. The summary <br />below includes text and characterizations used by Alameda County staff as part of their <br />presentation to the Board of Supervisors. <br />Using electrical load data for the most recent two-year period, along with best <br />professional predictions of future market conditions and energy prices, the study <br />projects estimated energy costs to both the CCA Authority and the customer base for a <br />13-year period, 2017 – 2030. The study assumes full participation by all cities, but <br />provides additional analysis relative to impacts associated with lower levels of <br />participation. The study: <br /> Quantifies the electric loads that an Alameda County CCA could serve, including residential and commercial customers in the unincorporated county and all cities <br />except the City of Alameda, which has its own utility; <br /> Estimates the costs to start-up and operate the CCA; <br /> Considers scenarios with differing assumptions concerning the amount of carbon-free power being supplied to the CCA so as to assess the costs and greenhouse gas <br />(GHG) emissions reductions possible with the CCA; <br /> Includes varying levels of renewable power and an analysis of in-county renewable generation potential; <br /> Compares the electric rates that could be offered by the CCA to PG&E’s rates; <br /> Quantitatively explores the rate competiveness to key input variables, such as the cost of natural gas; <br /> Explores what programs a CCA might offer with respect to administering customer- <br />side energy efficiency programs; <br /> Calculates the macroeconomic impact and potential employment benefits of CCA formation in the County. <br /> <br />The analysis covers four (4) possible operational scenarios: <br />a. Scenario 1 – Simple Compliance with State of California 33% Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) by 2020 and 50% by 2030; <br />b. Scenario 2 – Accelerated Renewable Investment - 50% Renewable portfolio from <br />the first year onward, plus additional amounts of emissions-free, large hydro <br />power (not considered renewable under California guidelines) to reduce GHG <br />emissions below projected PG&E GHG estimates;