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6 <br /> <br />TABLE OF CONTENTS <br /> <br />4. Capability Assessment Page 52 <br />4.1 Plans and Programs in Place Page 53 <br />4.2 Codes, Laws, and Ordinances Page 56 <br />4.3 Environmental Services Page 57 <br />4.4 Earthquake Retrofit Program Page 58 <br />4.5 Emergency Operations Plan Page 60 <br />4.5.1 Training and Exercise Page 61 <br />4.5.2 Emergency Operation Center Page 61 <br />4.5.3 Mass Notification Page 61 <br />4.5.4 Disaster Council Page 61 <br />4.5.5 Community Emergency Operations Team C.E.R.T. Page 61 <br />4.6 Hazardous Material Page 62 <br />4.7 Previously Implemented Mitigation Strategies Page 62 <br /> <br /> <br />5. Hazard Analysis and Risk Assessment Page 63 <br />5.1 Overview Page 63 <br />5.2 Hazard Identification and Screening Page 64 <br />5.3 Earthquakes Page 66 <br />5.3.1 Historic Bay Area Earthquake Occurrences Page 68 <br />5.3.2 Earthquake Hazards Page 68 <br />5.3.3 Surface Fault Rupture Page 71 <br />5.3.4 Ground Shaking Page 71 <br />5.3.5 Earthquake Shaking Scenarios Page 74 <br />5.3.6 Liquefaction Page 78 <br />5.3.7 Earthquake Induced Landslide Page 81 <br />5.3.8 Tsunamis and Seiches Page 82 <br />5.3.9 Fire Following Earthquakes Page 86 <br />5.4 Flooding Page 87 <br />5.4.1 Overbank Flooding Page 87 <br />5.5 Dam Failure Page 92 <br />5.6 Fire Page 91 <br />5.6.1 Wildland Urban Conflagration Page 92 <br />5.6.2 Probability of Future Fire – Climate Influenced Page 94 <br />5.7 Levee Failure Page 96 <br />5.8 Landslide Page 97 <br />5.9 Climate Change Page 98 <br />5.9.1 Rising Sea Level Page 98 <br />5.9.2 Drought Page 99 <br />5.9.3 Extreme Heat Page 101 <br />5.10 References Page 103 <br />5.11 Risk Assessment Page 106 <br />5.11.1 Urban Land Exposure Page 108 <br />5.11.2 Infrastructure Exposure Page 109 <br />5.11.3 Exposure of City Owned Buildings and Critical Facilities Page 110 <br />45