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<br />31 <br />General Economic Condition and Outlook of the City <br />As a result of the economic recession experienced in much of the State beginning in <br />2008, the City’s General Fund revenues decreased commencing in fiscal year 2008-09. Since <br />fiscal year 2011-12, General Fund revenues have steadily increased and now surpass the pre-economic recession General Fund revenues. The increase in General Fund revenues has been <br />due, in part, to the approval by the voters of the City in November 2010 of “Measure Z.” Measure Z increased the sales tax in the City by 0.25%, to be used by the City for general purposes, and which was subsequently extended and increased to 0.50% pursuant to Measure <br />HH effective April 1, 2015. See “– Sales and Use Taxes” for a discussion regarding Measure HH. Likewise, median home prices in the City are now approximately $600,000, nearing the median price at the 2006 peak. The City’s unemployment rate has also improved to 3%. <br />For fiscal year 2017-18, the City projects an assigned and unassigned General Fund balance of approximately $42 million as of the end of fiscal year 2017-18. In addition, the City <br />projects that General Fund revenues will total approximately $112 million for fiscal year 2017- <br />18. As compared to the final budget for fiscal year 2017-18, projected General Fund revenues are approximately $2.5 million higher than budgeted. The City’s General Fund expenditures for <br />fiscal year 2017-18 are projected to total approximately $99 million, or approximately $8.5 <br />million less than that projected in the City’s final budget for such fiscal year. <br />For fiscal year 2018-19, the City’s budget focuses on providing essential services. Over <br />one-half of the General Fund revenue is allocated to support public safety activities. General <br />Fund revenues and expenditures are each projected to total approximately $115 million for fiscal year 2018-19. In particular, sales tax revenues are projected to increase by 4% in fiscal <br />year 2018-19. Sales tax revenues account for approximately 39% of total General Fund revenues. Such revenues include Measure HH revenues projected in excess of $11 million. However, sales tax revenues are highly volatile since the level of consumer retail spending <br />directly influences it. Additionally, property tax revenue is anticipated to continue to be a major source (approximately 19%) of the City's total General Fund revenue. <br />In addition, in the biennial budget for fiscal years 2017-18 and 2018-19, the City <br />projected additional General Fund revenues to be generated in fiscal year 2018-19 from taxes levied pursuant to Measures OO, PP and NN passed by the voters in the City on November 8, <br />2016. See “– Other Taxes and Revenues” below for a discussion of Measures OO, PP and NN <br />and related taxes. <br />While the City has been able to approve balanced budgets with noreductions in program <br />or services, it continues to face increased operating costs. For example, as described below, <br />the City’s contribution rates for employee pensions continue to rise due to prior portfolio losses and changes in actuarial assumptions by the California Public Employees’ Retirement System <br />(“CalPERS”), with additional increases projected in future years. See “– Employee Retirement System” below. <br />The City forecasts a future structural deficit if no policy changes are implemented. See “ <br />– City Reserves” above. The City has taken pro-active measures to raise revenues and manage costs which have enabled it to invest in necessary capital projects while maintaining a balanced budget. The passage of Measures HH, OO, PP and NN have also increased the City’s revenues <br />as described above. To further address the forecasted structural deficit, the City may propose another revenue measure in 2019 or 2020. Additionally, an internal CARE Committee was