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Reso 2026-070 2026 Q1 OPEB Trust and Pension Trust Investment Report
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Reso 2026-070 2026 Q1 OPEB Trust and Pension Trust Investment Report
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6/8/2026 8:17:22 PM
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CM City Clerk-City Council - Document Type
Resolution
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6/8/2026
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QUARTERLY MARKET SUMMARY <br />For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2026 <br />Multi-Asset Class Management <br />-1.% <br />0.% <br />1.% <br />2.% <br />3.% <br />4.% <br />5.% <br />6.% <br />Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-25 Mar-26 <br />Fed Target Rate ECB Target Rate <br />Bank of England Target Rate Bank of Canada Target Rate <br />30 <br />40 <br />50 <br />60 <br />70 <br />80 <br />90 <br />Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-25 <br />WHAT WE’RE WATCHING <br />• The Federal Reserve (Fed) held rates steady in the first quarter amid persistent <br />inflation pressures and muted net job creation. Looking ahead, the 2026 dot <br />plot reflects expectations for one rate cut, though the outlook has become more <br />uncertain, as geopolitical developments add complexity to the inflation path. <br />Outside the U.S., the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BOE) <br />also held rates steady during the quarter, while markets continue to assess the <br />likelihood of additional policy action in the months ahead. <br />• U.S. consumer sentiment, as measured by the University of Michigan Survey of <br />Consumers, increased in the first two months of the quarter before retreating <br />toward December levels, as higher gasoline prices and financial market volatility <br />weighed on households’ outlook. <br />• The first quarter was marked by an escalation of geopolitical conflict involving <br />Iran, which remains an important risk factor for the global economy. Rising <br />energy and commodity prices have increased uncertainty around the duration <br />and magnitude of inflationary pressures. If disruptions to energy and commodity <br />supply chains persist or intensify, risks to global growth could increase, including <br />a higher probability of recession in energy-importing regions. <br />Global Central Bank Rates <br />Source: Bloomberg. <br />U.S. ISM Manufacturing & Services PMI <br />Source: Bloomberg. <br />40 <br />42 <br />44 <br />46 <br />48 <br />50 <br />52 <br />54 <br />56 <br />58 <br />60 <br />Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-25 Mar-26 <br />Manufacturing Services <br />University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment <br />Source: Bloomberg. <br />2.3 <br />Exhibit A <br />Resolution No. 2026-070 Page 6
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