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i ~ <br />EXISTING PLUS PROJECT PLUS FUTURE GROWTH <br />This Scenario is similar to the Existing plus Project Scenario with the addition of traffic from the <br />anticipated developments within the site vicinity. These anticipated developments and the impacts <br />that result from them are described below. The anticipated projects along with existing traffic and <br />project traffic are evaluated as the Existing plus Project plus Future Growth scenario. <br />Anticipated Projects <br />Anticipated projects include potential developments within San Leandro that are unbuilt or <br />unoccupied near the project site. These projects represent the most intensive land development that <br />may occur on their respective sites. Some of the sites could be developed with less intense land uses <br />with lower trip generation. Five anticipated projects are included in this Scenario: <br />1) The Villas at San Leandro (permit for 72 units of senior housing) <br />2) Cherry City (future 337 single-family homes) <br />3) Davis Site No.l (23,000 s.f. future office use) <br />4) Davis Site No. 2 (15,000 s.f. future office use) <br />5) Elks site (10,000 s.f. retail completed, 8,000 s.f. under construction) <br />Trip Generation <br />The trip generation rates from the anticipated projects were derived based on studies contained in <br />Trip Generation, Sixth Edition published by the Institute of Transportation Engineers, 1997, and <br />from San Diego Traffic Generators, published by San Diego Association of Governments, December <br />1998. Approximately 25 percent of the anticipated retail project-generated trips are expected to be <br />"pass-by" trips, meaning that they would already be on the nearby roadway system. Therefore, these <br />trips would not actually be "new" trips. The total added trip generation for anticipated projects is <br />approximately 334 trips in the a.m. peak hour and 438 trips in the p.m. peak hour. Table IV <br />illustrates the estimated trip generation for the anticipated projects. <br />Table IV <br />Anticipated Trip Generation of Future Projects <br /> A.M. Peak Hour P.M. Peak Hour <br />Project Size Units <br /> <br /> In Out Total In Out Total <br />Residential 337 DU 63 190 253 218 123 341 <br />Senior Housing 72 DU 6 7 13 11 9 20 <br />Retail 8 Ksf 6 4 10 14 14 28 <br />Pass-by Ceduction -1 -1 -2 -4 -4 -8 <br />Office 38 Ksf 53 7 60 10 47 57 <br />Total 127 207 334 249 189 438 <br />1 DU =Dwelling Unit; Ksf = 1,000 square feet <br />____ ~s . <br />San Leandro Creekside Plaza Business Park Traffic Study Page 14 <br />TJKM Transportation Consultants October 26, 1999 <br />