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Community Choice Aggregation Feasibility Analysis Alameda County <br />June 2016 . MRW & Associates, LLC <br />Residential Bill Impacts ...................................................................................................................... 23  <br />GHG Emissions ................................................................................................................................... 24  <br />Chapter 4: Sensitivity of Results to Key Inputs ....................................................................... 25  <br />Diablo Canyon Relicensing Sensitivity ............................................................................................ 25  <br />Higher Renewable Power Prices Sensitivity .................................................................................... 26  <br />Higher Exit Fee (PCIA) Sensitivity ................................................................................................... 27  <br />Higher Natural Gas Prices Sensitivity .............................................................................................. 27  <br />Lower PG&E Portfolio Cost Sensitivity ............................................................................................ 28  <br />Stress Case and Sensitivity Comparisons ........................................................................................ 28  <br />Conclusions .................................................................................................................................... 31  <br />Chapter 5: Macroeconomic Impacts ...................................................................................... 32  <br />How a CCA interacts with the Surrounding Economy ...................................................................... 32  <br />How Job Impacts Are Measured ..................................................................................................... 34  <br />Scenario Results ............................................................................................................................. 34  <br />Job and Gross Regional Product Total Impacts .................................................................................. 35  <br />County Job impact by Stage of Job generation, Scenario 1 ............................................................... 37  <br />County Job Impacts by Sector 2023 ................................................................................................... 38  <br />Focus on Construction Sector Jobs .................................................................................................... 39  <br />Occupation Impacts for Alameda County, 2023 ................................................................................ 42  <br />Chapter 6: Other Risks ........................................................................................................... 43  <br />Financial Risks to CCA Members ..................................................................................................... 43  <br />Procurement‐Related Risks ............................................................................................................ 43  <br />Legislative and Regulatory Risks .................................................................................................... 44  <br />PCIA Uncertainty ........................................................................................................................... 44  <br />Impact of High CCA Penetration on the PCIA .................................................................................. 45  <br />Bonding Risk .................................................................................................................................. 45  <br />Chapter 7: Other Issues Investigated ..................................................................................... 47  <br />Funding, Costs, and Impacts of the Energy Efficiency Program Scenario ......................................... 47  <br />“Minimum” CCA Size? .................................................................................................................... 49  <br />Individuals and Communities Self‐Selecting 100% Renewables ...................................................... 51  <br />Competition with a PG&E Community Solar Program..................................................................... 52  <br />Additional Local Renewables ......................................................................................................... 52  <br />Chapter 8:  Conclusions ......................................................................................................... 54  <br />