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Community Choice Aggregation Feasibility Analysis Alameda County <br />June, 2016 4 MRW & Associates, LLC <br />Figure 6. CCA Peak Demand Forecast, 2017-2030 <br /> <br /> <br />Energy Efficiency <br />The assessment of energy efficiency potential in Alameda County completed for this feasibility <br />study used outputs from the 201313 and 201514 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals studies <br />developed by the CPUC. These CPUC studies define the technical and economic potential for <br />energy efficiency in PG&E’s service territory. They also determine the market potential used to set goals and budgets for PG&E’s energy efficiency programs.15 Because of its size, varied <br />economy, diverse demographics, and range of climates, it is likely that both energy use <br />characteristics and the potential for energy efficiency in Alameda County is consistent with the <br />potential for energy efficiency in PG&E’s overall service territory, with some exceptions, such <br />as a reduced presence of agricultural and oil extraction loads found elsewhere in the state. Based on these consistencies, this analysis concludes that the energy efficiency potential for electricity <br />in PG&E’s overall service territory as presented in the CPUC studies can be allocated to <br />Alameda County in proportion to overall electricity sales, which average approximately 7.5% of <br />total annual PG&E electricity sales. <br />Using this approach to interpreting the output from CPUC potential studies, Table 1 provides a range of estimates of technical and economic potential in Alameda County for a forecast horizon <br />from the 2017 to 2024. This provides a general indication of the total amount of energy <br />efficiency potential that exists in Alameda County that PG&E and any CCA administered <br />programs would be serving. <br /> <br />13 2013 California Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study, Final Report. Prepared for the California Public <br />Utilities Commission by Navigant Consulting, Inc. February 14, 2014 14 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study for 2015 and Beyond, Stage 1 Final Report. Prepared for the <br />California Public Utilities Commission by Navigant Consulting, Inc. Reference No.: 174655, September 25, 2015 15 See Appendix A for a discussion of technical, economic, and market potential.