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Community Choice Aggregation Feasibility Analysis Alameda County June, 2016 5 MRW & Associates, LLC Table 1. Alameda County Average Technical and Economic Energy Efficiency Potential Metric Technical Potential Economic Potential Range (% of sales) 21% 16% 18% 15% Potential (GWh) 1,623 1,237 1,391 1,159 Table 2 provides a forecast of the market potential for energy efficiency based on a similar analysis market forecasts from the CPUC potential studies. The row labeled “PG&E Goals” represents Alameda County’s share of the market potential forecast which formed the basis for PG&E’s 2015 energy efficiency program portfolio savings targets.16 That is, because Alameda is in PG&E’s service area, it provides, and will continue to provide, energy efficiency programs to Alameda county residents and businesses. This row shows this amount. The row labeled “High Savings Scenario” represents the energy efficiency savings attributable to Alameda County in the CPUC potential study’s high savings scenario.17 The row labelled ”Incremental Potential” is the difference between PG&E’s 2015 portfolio goals for Alameda County and the high savings scenario for the County. This row represents the total market potential that could be served by CCA administered programs. The forecast presented in Table 2 Table 2. Alameda County Incremental Energy Efficiency Market Potential (GWh)18 Year 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Alameda Component of PG&E Goals 25.9 35.8 24.6 29.4 41.1 48.2 50.0 25.9 Alameda of High Savings Scenario 44.2 59.8 56.6 65.6 71.7 84.2 88.4 44.2 Incremental Potential 18.3 24.0 32.0 36.3 30.6 36.0 38.4 18.3 While there are countless opportunities and approaches to achieve energy efficiency, several examples of technologies and programs that will yield savings above what is being targeted through the current portfolio of PG&E programs operating in Alameda County are listed below. This includes initiatives that might compliment and leverage existing technologies or programs, or highlight emerging opportunities that are in design or early deployment.  High efficiency LED lighting initiatives targeting high lumen per watt technologies. 16 Net GWh, as defined by the CEC Mid Additional Achievable Energy Efficiency (AAEE) forecast 17 Referred to as the High AAEE Potential Scenario 18 Savings values do not include energy efficiency potential associated with building codes, appliance standards, or estimates for the agricultural or mining market sectors.