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<br />1 <br />Contents <br />1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................. 2 <br />San Leandro, California will be affected by Climate Change .................................................................... 3 <br />2. Climate Hazards Analysis ............................................................................................................ 3 <br />Inland Flooding ......................................................................................................................................... 4 <br />Climate change may increase flood risks in San Leandro ..................................................................... 4 <br />San Leandro will potentially face more frequent, severe floods .......................................................... 5 <br />Many citywide assets are exposed to flood risks .................................................................................. 5 <br />Sea Level Rise .......................................................................................................................................... 10 <br />San Leandro will experience sea level rise due to climate change ..................................................... 10 <br />Sea level rise is a certainty .................................................................................................................. 11 <br />Sea level rise will mean floods affect more assets over time ............................................................. 12 <br />Temperature Changes and Precipitation Events .................................................................................... 16 <br />Climate Change may increase temperatures in San Leandro, but impacts on rainfall are unclear.... 16 <br />San Leandro may experience higher average daily temperatures and more extreme heat days ...... 17 <br />Temperatures in San Leandro may be two to four degrees higher .................................................... 17 <br />The impacts of climate change on rainfall are ambiguous ................................................................. 19 <br />Rainfall Induced Landslides ..................................................................................................................... 20 <br />Areas where landslides have already occurred are at greatest risk ................................................... 20 <br />Wildfires .................................................................................................................................................. 21 <br />Climate change may increase wildfire risk .......................................................................................... 21 <br />Wildfires may become more common or severe ............................................................................... 21 <br />Many assets are already exposed to wildfire risks ............................................................................. 22 <br />Appendix A: Methods & Data Sources .......................................................................................... 24 <br />Methods .................................................................................................................................................. 24 <br />Data Sources ........................................................................................................................................... 24 <br />Rainfall Induced Inland Flooding ......................................................................................................... 24 <br />Sea Level Rise ...................................................................................................................................... 24 <br />Temperature and Precipitation ........................................................................................................... 26 <br />Rainfall Induced Landslides ................................................................................................................. 27 <br />Wildfires .............................................................................................................................................. 27 <br />Appendix B: Calculated Priority Risk Index ................................................................................... 28 <br /> <br />45