Reso 2021-113 Adopt 2021 CAP and Addendum to 2035 General Plan

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Public °ewe,,, Hearing Draft organizations. City staff and community partners working on CAP implementation will use these assessments to determine priority needs and methods for moving forward. GREENHOUSE GAS INVENTORY AND FORECAST A GHG inventory is a summary of the GHG emissions generated by activities that take place within a community. The GHG emissions inventory and the GHG forecast lay the groundwork for the 2021 CAP, which seeks to align the City's GHG reduction efforts with State -recommended targets. The City is committed to achieving emissions reductions of 40 percent below 2005 levels by 2030 and 80 percent below 2005 levels by 2050. The 2021 CAP contains GHG inventories for the years 2005 (updated from the inventory included in the 2009 CAP to take into account the latest science in GHG accounting and emissions factors), 2010, 2015, and 2017. These inventories assess emissions produced by the transportation, energy, waste, off -road, and water and wastewater sectors, as well as emissions associated with BART operations and emissions reductions attributable to biomass sequestration. GHG emissions have declined steadily from 2005 levels. In the base year of 2005, the City of San Leandro emitted approximately 720,990 MTCO2e. Transportation was the largest contributor to community emissions, emitting approximately 50 percent of the city's total. In 2017, GHG emissions totaled 573,580 MTCO2e, a decrease of 20 percent from 2005. Transportation remained the largest source of GHG emissions, accounting for approximately 60 percent of the community's total. A GHG emissions forecast uses estimates of future community population and job growth to predict how emissions would grow over time if no action is taken at the federal, state, or local or regional level to reduce them. The CAP update includes a GHG forecast for the calendar years 2020, 2030, and 2050, relying on growth assumptions from the California Department of Finance and Association of Bay Area Governments (ABAG). Relative to 2017 emissions, San Leandro's GHG emissions are expected to increase by approximately 21 percent by 2050 if no action is taken to reduce emissions, as shown in Figure ES-1. Page ES-2 San Leandro 2021 Climate Action Plan