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<br />Table 7. Impact of Investments on Homeless System Over 5 Years
<br />5-Year Investment Impact Dashboard, All Homeless Households (Adult Only + Households with
<br />Minor Children) Scenario 3 / Increased Investment
<br />
<br />Year 0
<br />(2021)
<br />Year 1
<br />(2022)
<br />Year 2
<br />(2023)
<br />Year 3
<br />(2024)
<br />Year 4
<br />(2025)
<br />Year 5
<br />(2026)
<br />New Homeless 4,000 4,800 5,300 5,300 4,700 4,300
<br />Annual HH in the
<br />System 13,000 14,000 14,700 14,400 12,600 9,200
<br />HHs served in pathways
<br />to housing 4,700 5,600 6,500 7,400 8,310 9,200
<br />Unmet need 8,300 8,400 8,200 7,000 4,200 0
<br />% Unmet need 64% 60% 56% 49% 33% 0%
<br />Source: CA-502 System Model, Abt Associates, 1/20/2022
<br />Additions to Housing Inventory
<br />In order to “right size” and develop a system which will allow us to reduce homelessness, additional
<br />housing inventory is needed so that households experiencing homelessness are able to leave
<br />homelessness for permanent housing. The table below details the specific inventory growth in different
<br />interventions and housing types needed to meet existing and anticipated future need among homeless
<br />households.
<br />Table 8. 5-year Homeless System Inventory Needs
<br />5-Year Inventory Needs, All Homeless Households (Adult Only + Households with Minor Children)
<br />Scenario 3 / Increased Investment
<br />Numbers below are cumulative, not new additions needed year over year
<br />
<br />Baseline
<br />Inventory
<br />(2021)
<br />Year 1
<br />(2022)
<br />Year 2
<br />(2023)
<br />Year 3
<br />(2024)
<br />Year 4
<br />(2025)
<br />Year 5
<br />(2026)
<br />HP/Rapid
<br />Resolution
<br />56 140 160 190 260 230
<br />Crisis Response
<br />(ES, TH, SH)
<br />1,785 34 2,760 3,410 3,140 1,810 1,390
<br />TH for Youth 153 100 120 140 200 170
<br />Rapid Re-Housing 535 1,180 1,370 1,560 2,180 1,940
<br />Permanent Housing Resources
<br />PSH 3,215 3,790 4,500 5,290 6,490 7,410
<br />PSH-Seniors 0 520 1,090 1,690 2,530 3,190
<br />Dedicated
<br />Affordable Hsg
<br />0 1,570 3,320 5,240 7,870 10,070
<br />Shallow Subsidy 0 830 1,740 2,750 4,090 5,240
<br />Source: Source: CA-502 System Model, Abt Associates, 1/20/22
<br />The table above also shows that in 2021 (the base year, or Year 0) Alameda County had 3,215
<br />permanent housing units for households experiencing homelessness, and in order to serve all of the
<br />current and projected need of homeless households, our system will need an inventory of 25,910
<br />permanent housing units by year 5 (2026) of the implementation plan.
<br />
<br />34 Note that a decreased inventory of shelter is reflected here, and in the 2021 System Modeling, to account for
<br />shelter decompression that occurred due to COVID-19 regulations.
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