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<br />15 <br /> <br />Figure 3. Impact of Investment level on trends in homelessness <br /> <br />Source: CA-502 System Model, Abt Associates, 1/20/2022 <br />Increased investments result in people finding housing quickly, not remaining homeless <br />With the required increase in investment and a small decrease in inflow, in 5 years (by 2026) the total <br />number of households served in Alameda County’s homeless system annually decreases by over 3,800 <br />from 2021. In this scenario there is capacity to serve and assist 9,200 households into permanent <br />housing by the homeless response system in year 5. This brings the unmet need in the homeless <br />system to 0. Having no unmet need does not mean that new people do not become homeless but <br />rather that for every new household that experiences homelessness there is a resource path to get <br />them out of homelessness and into housing within an average of 90 days. <br />Figure 4: Impact of Increased Investment on Homeless System Outcomes <br /> Source: CA-502 System Model, Abt Associates, 1/20/2022 <br /> <br />0 <br />2,000 <br />4,000 <br />6,000 <br />8,000 <br />10,000 <br />12,000 <br />14,000 <br />16,000 <br />18,000 <br />20,000 <br />Year 0 <br />(2021) <br />Year 1 <br />(2022) <br />Year 2 <br />(2023) <br />Year 3 <br />(2024) <br />Year 4 <br />(2025) <br />Year 5 <br />(2026) <br />1.a Current trajectory, current response <br />3.a Prevent new homelessness, current housing response <br />3.b Prevent new homelessness, increase housing <br />0 <br />2,000 <br />4,000 <br />6,000 <br />8,000 <br />10,000 <br />12,000 <br />14,000 <br />16,000 <br />Year 1 <br />(2022) <br />Year 2 <br />(2023) <br />Year 3 <br />(2024) <br />Year 4 <br />(2025) <br />Year 5 <br />(2026) <br />Annual HH in the System <br />HHs served in pathways to housing <br />Unmet need