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Housing Constraints Draft Housing Element 3-47 Pursuant to California Water Code Sections 10610 to 10657, EBMUD adopted a Water Shortage Contingency Plan in June 2021, which models a range of scenarios and their impact on water supply and demand and provides a framework to help address potential water shortages through 2050. The “base condition” represents EBMUD’s current operations and assumptions, including population growth numbers based upon Plan Bay Area projections. All except the five-year drought scenario shows a need for water in the future, but the magnitude of that need varies. Under the “base condition,” EBMUD is projected to meet customer demand through the year 2050 during normal years. However, during multi-year droughts, EBMUD will set mandatory rationing between 10-15 percent and need to obtain supplies to meet customer demands. The “high water demand scenario,” which was developed using predictions about changes in land use, climate, and existing customer water demands, shows a more rapid need for additional water. The potential need for additional water sources indicates that water supply may be a constraint to future housing development. The 2040 Water Supply Management Plan identifies the following methods for reaching water needs: conservation, use of recycled water, water transfers, Bayside Groundwater Project Phase 2, Sacramento Groundwater Banking Exchange, and regional desalination. Using these strategies, EBMUD predicts an ability to meet the projected water needs of the region.43 Pursuant to Senate Bill 1087 (2006), EBMUD’s Board of Directors approved Policy 3.07 which ensures that priority for new water service connections is given to proposed developments that include housing units affordable to lower income households. Policy 3.07 also states that EBMUD cannot deny an application for services to a proposed development that includes affordable housing unless certain specific conditions are met which could include a water shortage emergency condition, or if EBMUD is subject to a compliance order by the Department of Public Health that prohibits new water connections. Based on the requirement to provide priority to developments that include housing units affordable to lower income households, Policy 3.07 assures that the portion of overall water demands for lower-income households, as provided in the UWMP, can be met. Wastewater Two different sanitary sewer systems serve San Leandro. About two-thirds of the city, including most of northern and central San Leandro, is served by the City-owned and operated San Leandro Water Pollution Control Plant. The remainder of the city, including Washington Manor and most of southeastern San Leandro, is served by the Oro Loma Sanitary District. The Oro Loma District also includes unincorporated Alameda County, encompassing Ashland, Cherryland, and San Lorenzo. Most housing development would be infill development, which may allow existing infrastructure to be preserved in place and reduce costs for developers compared to vacant lot development. However, it is likely that extensions and/or replacement of wastewater infrastructure would be installed to service new development. Infrastructure extensions would be subject to compliance with applicable regulations and standard conditions for sewer construction projects, including City and/or Oro Loma permits or reviews for construction within public rights-of-way. Depending on the extensiveness of improvements, these regulations could increase permitting costs and timelines for new housing developments. San Leandro General Plan policies ensure that development is not approved until it can be demonstrated that adequate wastewater collection capacity exists or until a financial commitment 43 EBMUD 2020. Available: file:///C:/Users/acobb/Downloads/wsmp-2040-revised-final-plan.pdf