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Ending General Fund Available Balance <br />Under Alternative Scenarios (mil.) <br />$100 <br />- <br />• • •. • Stronger Economy- <br />$ <br />Lower Spending <br />..... Moderate Economy- <br />$0 <br />Lower Spending <br />- Stronger Economy- <br />($50) <br />Moderate Spending <br />($100) <br />Weaker Economy - <br />Lower Spending <br />($150) <br />a 9-SCENARIO <br />AVERAGE <br />($200) <br />-Moderate Economy- <br />($250) <br />Moderate Spending <br />- - - - Stronger Econ omy- <br />($300) <br />Higher Spending <br />- Weaker Economy - <br />Moderate Spending <br />($400) <br />----Moderate Economy - <br />Higher Spending <br />($450) <br />----Weaker Economy - <br />Higher Spending <br />($500) <br />18 19 20 2122 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 3132 33 34 35 36 37 <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />IIncludes Major Emergencies <br />I' Reserve, Fiscal Uncertainty Reserve <br />• Shows range of <br />shortfalls from all nine <br />scenarios <br />• Range of outcomes <br />widens over time due to <br />impact of compounding <br />• Average shortfall <br />represents 9% of total <br />average expenditures <br />• Economy Scenarios <br />Stronger (green) <br />Moderate (blue) <br />Weaker (red) <br />• Spending Scenarios <br />Higher (dashes---) <br />Moderate (line—) <br />Lower (dots....) <br />• Available balance <br />excludes nonspendable <br />and committed funds <br />