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912435.5 <br />-2-November 19, 2024 <br />The cost of campaigning in at-large elections is much higher than district-based elections -in a <br />pure by-district election, candidates knock on fewer doors and spend less on campaign mailers. <br />District elections are therefore more accessible to candidates whose donor and voting base is less <br />socioeconomically advantaged. Asian American candidates have experienced these fiscal <br />burdens, as well as the costs of vying for the votes citywide instead of representing the interests <br />of the Asian American community. <br />The City's use of ranked-choice voting ("RCV") in City Council elections for each <br />council seat does not mitigate the dilutive effect of at-large elections. While RCV can help <br />minority voting groups elect candidates of their choice by lowering the threshold of election, <br />such anti-dilutive effects occur in multi-seat elections, not single-member districts. See <br />Proportional Ranked Choice Voting, https://fairvote.org/our-reforms/proportional-ranked-choice- <br />voting/. The City's website indicates that the City transitioned to RCV to avoid holding runoff <br />elections where no candidate passed the 50% threshold for election, rather than to empower <br />voting minorities within the City.1 <br />II. The City's electoral history shows that Asian American candidates are usually <br />defeated in contested elections. <br />A CVRA violation is established if racially polarized voting occurs in elections and there <br />is some other alternative system that would give a protected class the ability to elect candidates <br />of its choice or influence the outcomes of elections. Cal. Elec. Code§§ 14027, 14028(1); Pico <br />Neighborhood Ass 'n v. City of Santa Monica, 15 Cal. 5th 292, 307-08 (2023). Racially polarized <br />voting means "voting in which there is a difference ... in the choice of candidates or other <br />electoral choices that are preferred by voters in a protected class, and in the choice of candidates <br />and electoral choices that are preferred by voters in the rest of the electorate." Cal. Elec. Code§ <br />14026( e ). The CVRA instructs that racially polarized voting can be determined by looking at the <br />results of elections "in which at least one candidate is a member of a protected class." Cal. Elec. <br />Code § l 4028(b ). <br />A review of San Leandro' s recent election results confirms that Asian American <br />candidates running in at-large elections are usually unsuccessful in contested races. In the most <br />recent election,2 Robert Bulatao lost the race for district 6 to Dylan Boldt. In 2022, Kenneth Pon <br />lost in District 1, while Xouhoa Bown narrowly won by 32 votes in District 5. In 2018, Benny <br />Lee lost in his bid for Mayor and Kenneth Pon lost in District 1. In 2016, Benny Lee won, but he <br />ran in an uncontested election as an incumbent in District 4. In 2014, Kenneth Pon lost in <br />District 1. In 2012, Benny Lee won in District 4 with 50.09% of the vote, while Hermy Almonte <br />lost in District 6. While Asian American candidates have been able to eke out a couple narrow <br />wins in contested elections in the last 12 years, the electoral history of San Leandro City Council <br />elections is clear: Asian American candidates are usually defeated in at-large elections. <br />1 See Ranked Choice Voting, https://www.sanleandro.org/209/Ranked-Choice-Voting. <br />2 We recognize that the Alameda County Registrar of Voters has not yet certified the election results for this <br />election.