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Wildland Modeling <br />11 <br />•Two Key Components <br />•Burn Probability: Based on 30 years of fire history (1991– <br />2020), vegetation, and climate types. <br />•Fire Behavior: Potential flame length calculated using slope, <br />vegetation type, and extreme local fire weather. <br />•Worst-Case Conditions: Models use the hottest, driest, windiest <br />5% of weather days that can sustain fire. <br />•Long-Term Perspective: Does not factor in recent fires or fuel <br />treatments, focusing instead on hazard potential over decades.