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Packet 20250902
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9/16/2025 10:34:33 AM
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CM City Clerk-City Council
Document Date (6)
9/2/2025
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QUARTERLY MARKET SUMMARY <br />For the Quarter Ended March 31, 2025 <br />Multi-Asset Class Management <br />CommentsOur Q2 2025 Investment OutlookAsset Class <br />•Risks to growth narrative has unnerved the markets leading to pick up to <br />volatility. Tariffs and their possible impact on business and consumer <br />confidence, corporate profit margins, inflation and economic growth has <br />led to increased uncertainty leading us to remain neutral across U.S. <br />equities. We also expect rate cut related volatility to remain as Fed <br />remains data dependent amidst this increased uncertainty. <br />•Market performance has broadened beyond the Mag-7 names in Q1. <br />Earnings growth for large caps are also expected to broaden outside of <br />Mag-7, but current macro environment leads to increased uncertainty. <br />•Small-caps continued to lag large-caps during the recent sell-off reversing <br />the gains since election. Macro uncertainty and high level of rates are <br />headwinds while attractive valuations and improving earnings <br />expectations are tailwinds. <br />U.S. Equities <br />Large-Caps <br />Small-Caps <br />•International equities have outperformed U.S. equities in Q1 and continue <br />to trade at a discount to U.S. equities. Improved sentiment is driven by <br />increased fiscal spending efforts in Europe and continued stimulus in <br />China,but tariff overhang remains for these export-oriented economies. <br />•Across Europe and China, we believe that there are structural/geopolitical <br />issues that need to be addressed for long-term sustained outperformance. <br />Non-U.S. Equities <br />Developed Markets <br />Emerging Markets <br />•The Fed continues to be in pause mode as they assess uncertainty <br />amidst widened range of outcomes combined with lower growth and <br />higher unemployment rate as seen in the recent Fed projections. Yields <br />look attractive across the fixed income sectors which leads us to closer to <br />neutral. We maintain duration close to the benchmark duration across the <br />portfolios. <br />•Credit markets remain attractive due to strong corporate fundamentals. <br />We remain positive on investment grade but are staying closer to targets <br />on high yield given tighter spreads and rising uncertainty. We continue to <br />closely watch for signs for any distress in the corporate credit space. <br />Fixed Income <br />Core Bonds <br />Investment Grade Credit <br />High Yield Credit <br />•During the recent risk-asset sell-off in Q1 in the U.S., listed REITs and <br />listed infrastructure held up well pointing to their characteristics of lower <br />correlation. While the underlying fundamentals within listed real estate <br />and listed infrastructure are healthy, we remain neutral due to ongoing <br />uncertainty regarding economic growth. <br />Diversifying Assets <br />Listed Real Estate <br />Listed Global Infrastructure <br />Investment Strategy Overview <br />The view expressed within this material constitute the perspective and judgment of PFM Asset Management, a division of U.S. Bancorp Asset Management, Inc., at the time of distribution <br />(March 31, 2025) and are subject to change. <br />Current outlook Outlook one quarter ago PositiveSlightly <br />Positive <br />NeutralSlightly <br />Negative <br />Negative <br /> For Institutional Investor or Investment Professional Use Only - This material is not for inspection by, distribution to, or quotation to the general public.2.9
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