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Reso 2026-061 2025 Q4 OPEB Trust & Pension Trust Investment Report
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Reso 2026-061 2025 Q4 OPEB Trust & Pension Trust Investment Report
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CM City Clerk-City Council - Document Type
Resolution
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5/18/2026
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QUARTERLY MARKET SUMMARY <br />For the Quarter Ended December 31, 2025 <br />Multi-Asset Class Management <br />DOMESTIC EQUITY <br />• The S&P 500 Index (S&P) posted a 2.7% return in the fourth quarter (of 2025). <br />That equates to a return of 17.9% for the year. <br />• Within the S&P 500, the performance varied greatly across sectors, with <br />nine of the 11 seeing positive returns. The best performing sectors were <br />Healthcare (11.7%), Communication Services (7.3%), and Financials (2.0%). <br />Utilities saw a loss of (-1.4%) while Real Estate performed the worst, with a <br />negative return (-2.9%). <br />• Positive returns were seen across all capitalizations with large caps, as <br />represented by the Russell 1000 Index, returning 2.4% during the quarter <br />while mid and small caps, as represented by the Russell Midcap and Russell <br />2000 indices returned 0.2% and 2.2% respectively. Value stocks outperformed <br />growth stocks across all capitalizations. <br />• According to FactSet Earnings Insight as of December 22, 2025, analysts are <br />projecting earnings growth of 8.3% in Q4 2025, up from an initial estimate <br />of 7.2% in September. This is below the five- and 10-year average earnings <br />growth rates, but remains relatively strong, and would mark the tenth <br />consecutive quarter of year-over-year earnings growth for the index. The index <br />has once again been supported by the technology space. For calendar year <br />2025, analysts are projecting year-over-year earnings growth of 12.3%. <br />• At quarter end, the 12-month adjusted positive forward price-to-earnings <br />(P/E) ratio (includes only positive earnings results for consistency) for the S&P <br />500 is 27.5, which is above the five year average of 23.3. The Russell 2000 <br />Index, which represents small cap stocks, had an adjusted positive forward <br />P/E ratio of 21.4, also above its five year average of 17.7. <br />Source: Bloomberg. <br />S&P 500 Index Performance by Sector <br />Periods Ended December 31, 2025 <br />Source: Bloomberg. <br />*P/E ratios are calculated based on one-year forward estimates and adjusted to include only posi- <br />tive earnings results for consistency. <br />P/E Ratios of Major Stock Indices* <br />Consumer <br />Disc. <br />Consumer <br />Staples Energy Financials H'lthcare Industrials Info. Tech Materials Real Estate Telecom Utilities <br />QTD 0.71% 0.01% 1.53% 2.01% 11.68% 0.86% 1.42% 1.12% -2.87% 7.26% -1.40% <br />YTD 6.04% 3.90% 8.68% 14.97% 14.60% 19.27% 24.04% 10.54% 3.15% 33.56% 16.04% <br />1 Year 6.04% 3.90% 8.68% 14.97% 14.60% 19.27% 24.04% 10.54% 3.15% 33.56% 16.04% <br />-5% <br />0% <br />5% <br />10% <br />15% <br />20% <br />25% <br />30% <br />35% <br />0 <br />5 <br />10 <br />15 <br />20 <br />25 <br />30 <br />Dec-21 Dec-22 Dec-23 Dec-24 Dec-25 <br />S&P 500 S&P 500 5-Year Average <br />Russell 2000 Russell 2000 5-Year Average <br />2.4 <br />Exhibit A <br />Resolution No. 2026-061
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