3B Public Hearing 2007 0904 - Laserfiche WebLink

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Population and Housing Implementation of the TaD Strategy would increase the population ofthe Strategy Area by approximately 8,749 residents and 3,431 households (dwelling units) by the year 2030. However, the projected increase in population and dwelling units associated with build-out of the Strategy through 2015 would not exceed the City's growth projections, as set forth in the General Plan. The City's current General Plan does not include population projections through 2030 so it cannot be determined whether Strategy-related growth projections are within the parameters of the City's envisioned growth for that horizon year. Growth projections for the Strategy generally conform to ABAG's most recent set of projections, Projections 2007, which project out to 2035. Therefore, with adherence to General Plan Policies 3.01 and 3.02, the TaD Strategy would result in less-than-significant impacts to population growth, either directly or indirectly. Thirty-nine development opportunity sites have been identified in the Strategy Area where new development is likely to occur, and a total of 35 residential dwelling units are among these 39 sites. Some or all of these units may be displaced as a result of the development projects occurring under the Strategy guidelines, however, dwelling unit projections for the Strategy indicate a net increase of994 dwelling units by 2015 and a net increase of3,396 units by 2030. Therefore, based on these net increase projections and adherence to General Plan Policies 3.01 and 3.02, impacts related to displacement of people, as well as housing units, would be less than significant. Public Services and Recreation An increase in population under the TaD Strategy could increase the demand for fire suppression services, police services and the need for city parks and recreational opportunities, public libraries and schools in the Strategy Area, as development under the TaD Strategy would be intensified. It is estimated that approximately 3,431 new residential units with an estimated population of 8,749 people, approximately 718,240 square feet of office and approximately 120,870 square feet ofretail space could be added within the Strategy Area over the next 20 years. This increase in population and development exceeds San Leandro General Plan projections and could adversely affect public services and recreational opportunities within the Study Area. Impacts to the Alameda County Fire Department and the San Leandro Police Department to provide adequate fire and police services will be reduced to a less-than-significant level by implementation of General Plan Policies 45.01, 45.05, and 45.06, which ensure that development is approved only if it can be demonstrated that the levels of service for fire and police services are adequately maintained. The half mile radius of the TaD Strategy Area crosses three elementary school attendance boundaries (Washington, McKinley, and Wilson) and the two attendance boundaries of the District's only two middle schools (Bancroft and John Muir). All high school students generated from development as part of the TaD strategy would attend San Leandro High School. Impacts to schools and teaching facilities will be significant and unavoidable, as will cumulative impacts, with implementation of General Plan Policies 4.03 and 46.02, and TaD Strategy EIR