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ATTACHMENT D <br />CONTINGENT RISKS <br />RISK ANALYSIS <br />Attached as Exhibit A is a table setting forth ABAG POWER's best reasonable effort at <br />estimating the maximum reasonable liability (in total for the Electric Program) for each of <br />the listed contingent liabilities. The table allocates total liability of the program- to individual <br />Members in accordance with the usage ratio, or CTC Reversal ratio, as appropriate. The <br />allocation is for illustrative purposes only. ABAG POWER does not have sufficient <br />information on which to base an estimate of how the entity imposing the liability would <br />allocate the liabilities or how ABAG POWER and the Members ought to react to such <br />allocation, <br />A. UNINVOICED ENERGY CHARGES <br />Description of Risk <br />ABAG POWER is distributing to each of its Electric Program Members a proportionate share <br />of the Working Capital contributions made by Members in response to Working Capital calls <br />by ABAG POWER and residual funds from operating costs paid by Members during the <br />Electric Program (Balancing Account). These funds were held, in part, in reserve for <br />payment of charges for electrical energy consumed by Members of the Electrical Program <br />during aone-week period in August 2001 when ABAG POWER was not purchasing electricity <br />on behalf of the Electric Program (Gap Period). <br />As of February 29, 2004, ABAG POWER has not been invoiced for electricity consumed <br />during the Gap Period. Under the Wind Up Agreement, if ABAG POWER receives such a bill, <br />each Member will be required to pay its proportionate share. <br />Background <br />Under normal operating conditions, ABAG POWER purchased on behalf of the Members of <br />the Electric Program sufficient energy to meet their estimated needs. Purchases were made <br />from a variety of electricity generators and energy remarketers, under various contractual <br />formats (fixed price, indexed price, indexed price with "floors" and/or "ceilings," etc.), and <br />at various prices. In all instances, one significant factor in the price of electricity is the hour <br />in which it is consumed. Energy during certain "peak" periods was priced considerably <br />higher than at other periods. <br />In the summer of 2000, the electric market became highly unstable. ABAG POWER was <br />having a difficult time meeting credit requirements which our scheduling coordinator and <br />electricity sellers were imposing on the marketplace. Consequently, on August 2, 2000 <br />ABAG POWER notified PG&E in writing of.its difficulties, and actions being taken to rectify <br />the situation. PG&E acknowledged that it had received ABAG POWER's notice, and although <br />it believed that ABAG POWER was in default of its ESP Agreement, PG&E would allow ABAG <br />POWER until August 7, 2000 to resolve the situation. Prior to this deadline, ABAG POWER <br />was able to secure scheduling coordination services and contract for electricity at a <br />reasonable price, without the additional credit requirements imposed by other energy <br />providers and remarketers. <br />