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• • • • Aviation Committee January 13, 2005 Master Plan Progress Report Page 5 • • Three sample concept graphics are provided with this letter, one in each of the three potential terminal development areas: "Potential Terminal Development Concept 1B / 2C / 3B." • Port staff received official comment letters from the Stakeholder Advisory Committee representatives from cities of Alameda and Oakland. Based on comments in these letters and • comments from the members of the Stakeholder Advisory Committee during the meetings, there appears to be general consensus that Area 2 is the best location for potential terminal development at OAK. Area 2 is less challenging environmentally and is more financially feasible. Port staff generally concurs that Area 2 is the best area for potential terminal development, although it would require relocation of the UPS and belly cargo buildings, Buildirigs M -106 and M -112 (shown on the graphics as "Cargo Building"). As outlined in the • letter from the City of Alameda, some of the Stakeholder Advisory Committee representatives • 0 are concerned about any future development at OAK. Other representatives indicated that mitigation measures need to be explored to offset potential environmental impacts associated • with future development (some environmental issues have been identified on each potential terminal development concept and will be discussed in more detail at a Stakeholder Advisory Committee meeting in June 2005). • • Air Cargo and Flights The next "Forecasts" graph (Million Annual Tons of Cargo (Rolling) — Bay Area Airports, Graph 1 C) shows the historic and forecast weight of air cargo (including air mail) at OAK, as well as at . . San Francisco and Mineta San Jose international airports. The high growth forecast for OAK, 5.14% annual growth.in air cargo weight, was developed to show the growth rate required to reach.the weight level projected for 2010 in the Supplemental Environmental Impact Report for the Airport Development Program (i.e., 2.1 million annual tons, or MAT) by 2025. The medium growth forecast reflects the RASP growth rate (4.52% annual growth in air cargo weight) • starting from the current weight level. The low growth forecast, 3:59% annual growth in air cargo weight, reflects. the historical average annual growth for air cargo In the Bay Area from 1990 through present. Using the low growth forecast (3.59% annual growth rate), Port staff believes that OAK will handle approximately 0.9 MAT, or 900,000 tons, in 2010 and 1.5 MAT in 2025. The majority of .this air cargo weight (over 75 %) is expected to be carried on FedEx (in . larger aircraft, such as Airbus A -300s and A -310s, DC-10s and MD-1.1s). By 2010, Port staff expects FedEx to have phased out all but one of their nighttime Boeing 727 operations (the • oldest and noisiest aircraft in their fleet). • Although they do not carry a significant amount of air cargo weight (less than 2 %), a significant number of air cargo operations (almost 38 %) occur with smaller single- engine engine . piston and turboprop aircraft operating from North Field. These flights operate to ,smaller . airports carrying bank checks and feeding FedEx and other large air cargo airlines, among other tasks. • The following table summarizes the master plan forecasts :for air cargo weight and total cargo airline flights: • •