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• • • <br /> • <br /> • <br /> • <br /> Aviation Committee • January 13, 2005 <br /> • <br /> • Master Plan Progress Report Page 6 <br /> • <br /> Master Plan Cargo Forecasts <br /> Existing 2010 2025 • <br /> • <br /> • • Million Annual 0.73 0.9 1.5 <br /> • •Tons (12 months ending <br /> (MAT) Nov. 2004) <br /> Daily Flights/ 156 164 . . n/a <br /> • Operations (2003 annual <br /> average day) <br /> • (1) One ton is equal to 2,000 pounds (also called a short ton), which is equal to approx. 0.9 metric tons. <br /> (2) A flight or operation is one take -off or landing. <br /> n/a = not available <br /> . • Port staff and Stakeholder Advisory Committee representatives discussed possible areas on the <br /> Airport for potential air cargo development areas, as shown in a graphic titled "Potential Air <br /> • Cargo Development Areas." Appropriate planning considerations are listed for each- area. <br /> • <br /> •Areas 1 and 2' provide significant area for future air cargo development and are generally not <br /> needed to support the forecast level air cargo activity. However, if the Port chose to <br /> • aggressively market new air, cargo development, these areas might be needed and the <br /> • <br /> • • forecasts would likely need to be increased. Area 3 provides for a modest expansion of the <br /> • • existing FedEx complex. Area 4 (also known as Area 2 from the terminal graphics) could • <br /> • <br /> • accommodate new and/or relocated air cargo facilities, in conjunction with potential terminal <br /> development. <br /> • <br /> Port staff received an official comment letter from the Stakeholder Advisory Committee <br /> representatives from the City of Oakland. Based on comments in this letter and comments from <br /> • the members of the Stakeholder Advisory Committee during the meetings, there appears to be <br /> general consensus that Areas 3 and 4 provide the best location for potential air cargo . <br /> development at OAK. Port staff generally concurs that Areas 3 and 4 are the best areas for <br /> . potential air cargo development (as informed by the forecasts, assuming a non - aggressive <br /> marketing strategy to attract new air cargo development to OAK). <br /> • General Aviation Operations and Based Aircraft <br /> The final "Forecasts" graph (Annual General Aviation and Military Operations. Graph 1 P) shows <br /> • the historic' and forecast number of general aviation and military aircraft operations at OAK. <br /> Since 2000, the total number of general aviation aircraft operations has plummeted from over <br /> 250,000 annual operations (fake -offs and landings) to less than 150,000 today (over a 40% <br /> • • decease). <br /> General aviation operations are divided into four categories for the purposes of forecasting: (1) • <br /> helicopters, (2) Jets (including corporate jets), (3) turboprops (turbine engines that spin <br /> propellers), and pistons (including touch and go training flights). <br /> For helicopters, Port staff assumed a 1% annual growth rate in addition to a significant jump in <br /> • the middle of 2005 when a new helicopter flight training school starts operations at North Field <br /> • (Silver State helicopters). For jets, a 3% annual growth rate was assumed, based on industry <br /> trends and forecasts (e.g., forecasts prepared by others, including National Business Aviation <br /> . Association, Rolls- Royce, and Honeywell). For pistons, Port staff forecast a continued decrease <br /> • <br /> • <br /> • <br />