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MAJOR GENERAL FUND REVENUES <br /> <br />REAL PROPERTY TRANSFER TAXES <br /> <br />The Real Property Transfer Tax (Transfer Tax) rate set by the City is $6 per $1,000 of the <br />value of consideration paid for the documented sale of real property or any transfer of <br />interest in real property. The tax is due when the documents of transfer are recorded with <br />the County. Title companies collect the tax as part of the sale closing process, and remit <br />the funds to Alameda County when sales or transfers are finalized. Penalties are imposed <br />on delinquent payments, and interest is charged from the date of delinquency until paid. <br />Alameda County remits the amounts due monthly, and the amounts are credited to the <br />General Fund. <br /> <br />Analysis <br />Because Real Property Transfer Tax is tied directly to all real property sales, it is a volatile <br />revenue source, and difficult to predict more than one year at a time. Factors that affect <br />the revenue generated by Transfer Taxes are the sale price of property and the frequency <br />with which property is sold. These immediate factors are driven by the availability of <br />mortgage loans, the level of long-term interest rates, the supply and demand for real <br />estate in San Leandro, and general economic growth in the Bay Area. <br /> <br />Forecast <br />Although the City realized an increase in Real Property Transfer Tax of $5.5 million in <br />2016-17, in 2017-18 the City experienced a 5% decline, or $283,000 decrease in <br />revenues. Consequently, the proposed revenues are expected to be flat for the new <br />biennium. Staff is projecting a less than 1% average annual growth to be conservative, <br />over subsequent years. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />Actual Projected <br />2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 2026-27 2027-28 2028-29 <br />Collections $5.2 $5.0 $5.0 $5.0 $4.9 $5.1 $5.3 $5.4 $5.5 $5.5 $5.3 $5.2 <br />$ Change (0.3) (0.2) - - (0.1) 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 - (0.2) (0.1) <br />% Change -5.5% -3.8% 0.0% 0.0% -2.0% 4.1% 3.9% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% -3.6% -1.9% <br />Proposed Projected Revenue <br />(Dollars in Millions)PROPERTY <br />TRANSFER <br />TAX <br />62 <br />84