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Executive Summary <br />San Leandro 2021 Climate Action Plan Page ES-3 <br />Figure 1 San Leandro GHG Emissions with Reduction Strategies, 2020 to 2050 <br />(Absolute) (MTCO2e) <br /> <br /> <br />CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT <br />A vulnerability assessment is an analysis of how climate change is likely to affect a community. The <br />vulnerability assessment in this CAP looks at the anticipated hazards and other public safety <br />concerns that may be created or exacerbated by climate change and how these conditions have <br />the potential to harm people, buildings and infrastructure, ecosystems, and other assets in San <br />Leandro. <br />San Leandro, like most communities in California, is expected to experience multiple direct impacts <br />due to climate change, including Bayshore flooding, drought, extreme heat, inland flooding, <br />landslide and debris flow, sea-level rise (SLR), severe storms, and wildfire. These climate change <br />effects are projected to have myriad intersecting and compounding impacts on San Leandro’s <br />communities, ecosystems, infrastructures, and services. Potentially vulnerable communities <br />include those with low incomes; those with unstable or deficient housing; those unfamiliar with or <br />unable to access community and government services and resources; those with limited mobility; <br />and those who are physiologically more sensitive to changing climate conditions, such as children, <br />the elderly, and people with certain medical conditions. <br />Locations within San Leandro that are particularly vulnerable to the effects of climate change <br />include steep slopes and adjacent areas, riparian habitats, and low-lying parts of the city, <br />0 <br />100,000 <br />200,000 <br />300,000 <br />400,000 <br />500,000 <br />600,000 <br />700,000 <br />800,000 <br />2005 2017 2030 2050 <br />Baseline emissions Forecasted emissions <br />Emissions with existing and planned actions Emissions with CAP <br />Adopted Targets <br />2050 target: 80% below 2005 levels <br />Additional emissions <br />reductions to meet 2050 target <br />2030 target: 40% below <br />2005 levels <br />Emissions reduced by CAP <br />strategies <br />Emissions reduced by <br />existing and planned efforts <br />43